Araguaia AC vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 0
AAC
12%
16%
72%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AAC
1 - 0
ACA
32%
23%
46%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
POC
3 - 0
AAC
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AAC
2 - 0
DBO
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +5 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NME
2 - 1
AAC
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
DBO
1 - 1
NME
22%
22%
56%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NME
0 - 1
MIX
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
5 - 2
NME
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
URO
2 - 1
NME
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NME
3 - 0
DBO
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |