Araguacema vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguacema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
3 - 2
TMI
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
NCO
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
INT
4 - 0
ARA
60%
20%
21%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
5 - 0
GUR
17%
20%
64%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +5 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 0
ARA
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
TOC
4 - 1
GUR
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NCO
0 - 3
TOC
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 1
INT
41%
25%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAP
0 - 0
TOC
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
TOC
4 - 1
TMI
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |