Aragua U20 vs Tucanes FC U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
SFE
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 2
DTA
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DTA
0 - 0
ARA
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ZUL
0 - 1
ARA
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 2
ZUL
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
UCA
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 7
DLA
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -3 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 4
POR
22%
25%
54%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
6 - 0
TUC
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 2
CAR
31%
26%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |