Aragua U20 vs Tucanes FC U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
DLA
1 - 2
ARA
50%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 2
ARA
50%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
DLA
8 - 3
TUC
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
POR
5 - 1
TUC
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
TUC
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 2
ARA
50%
24%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |