Aragua U20 vs Tucanes FC U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ARA
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 3
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DLA
1 - 2
ARA
35%
23%
42%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 1
ARA
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DLA
2 - 0
TUC
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
TUC
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TUC
3 - 0
CAR
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
TUC
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 1
ARA
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |