Aragua U20 vs Tucanes FC U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
DGU
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
DPE
2 - 1
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
ARA
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 2
AVE
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DGU
1 - 1
ARA
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tucanes FC U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TUC
0 - 0
DPE
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
DGU
13 - 0
TUC
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TUC
2 - 2
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TUC
0 - 0
AVE
31%
26%
44%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DPE
1 - 0
TUC
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |