Aragua U20 vs Tucanes FC U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DPE
1 - 1
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DGU
3 - 0
ARA
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 0
ARA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
TUC
0 - 1
ARA
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tucanes FC U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TUC
0 - 0
AVE
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DPE
2 - 1
TUC
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TUC
0 - 0
DGU
31%
25%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
TUC
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
TUC
0 - 1
ARA
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |