Aragua U20 vs Caracas U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
DLA
1 - 2
ARA
50%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 2
ARA
50%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 3
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 2
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
TUC
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
DLA
3 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 2
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |