Aragua FC vs Zamora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
57.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 1
ARA
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
DEP
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 2
ARA
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 4
MON
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
UCV
2 - 1
ARA
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TAC
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MET
2 - 0
ZAM
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ZAM
5 - 1
ZUL
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
POR
2 - 3
ZAM
26%
29%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 0
LAR
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |