Aragua FC vs Zamora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARA
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 0
CAR
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
LAR
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
DEP
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 3
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
ZAM
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -3 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 0
ZAM
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 1
MON
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
ZAM
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |