Aragua FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
ARA
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
YAR
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 1
ARA
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 1
TRU
34%
28%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARA
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 3
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MON
1 - 3
ZAM
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
ANZ
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |