Aragua FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
47.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GVA
2 - 2
ARA
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 0
DEP
22%
28%
50%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
ARA
36%
29%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 0
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
YAR
0 - 1
ARA
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 0
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
YAR
1 - 0
LAR
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
GVA
3 - 3
LAR
14%
25%
60%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 2
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
APC
0 - 3
LAR
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |