Aragua FC vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
ARA
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
ARA
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
MIR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
ARA
48%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
URE
55%
23%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 3
CFC
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 1
TUC
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
ANZ
12%
20%
68%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 0
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 0
MIN
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |