Aragua FC vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
LLA
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 3
ZAM
32%
30%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
ARA
5 - 0
UCV
67%
22%
12%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 1
ARA
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
POR
58%
25%
16%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ANZ
3 - 1
ZUL
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
ANZ
22%
29%
49%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 0
EST
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 26 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 1
ARA
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ANZ
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |