Arabia Saudí U23 vs Japón U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
67.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arabia Saudí U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
UZB
3 - 1
KSA
32%
23%
45%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
KSA
1 - 0
KOR
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
KSA
3 - 1
IDN
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
KSA
2 - 0
CHN
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
KSA
1 - 0
CHN
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Japón U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
JPN
0 - 3
ESP
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ISR
0 - 1
JPN
5%
15%
80%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
JPN
1 - 0
MLI
87%
10%
3%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
JPN
5 - 0
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
JPN
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |