Árabe Unido II vs UMECIT II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+108%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
12º
5º
22
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 0
ARA
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
SSM
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
ARA
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
ARA
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
UME
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
UMECIT II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
CHA
9%
18%
73%
|
13 | 58 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UDP
1 - 1
UME
83%
12%
4%
|
12 | 55 | 43 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
COL
4%
10%
86%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | +3 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
2 - 3
SSM
8%
18%
75%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |