Apurtuarte vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
LFT
0 - 1
APU
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
APU
1 - 0
ABC
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CDL
2 - 0
APU
30%
27%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
APU
2 - 1
IUR
49%
26%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ZKE
1 - 1
APU
32%
23%
46%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
GAT
38%
28%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SDU
1 - 5
DER
44%
26%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DER
2 - 1
RET
43%
29%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
URD
2 - 0
DER
48%
25%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DER
3 - 0
JUV
21%
26%
53%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |