Apurtuarte vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 1
APU
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
APU
2 - 1
GAL
60%
23%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
IUR
0 - 1
APU
44%
27%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TCF
0 - 4
APU
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
APU
2 - 0
RET
56%
25%
19%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DER
0 - 1
RET
27%
30%
43%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CDL
1 - 0
DER
66%
21%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
CDE
26%
29%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SDE
2 - 1
DER
63%
22%
15%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DER
2 - 1
CDS
17%
26%
57%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |