Apurtuarte vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
SDU
1 - 2
APU
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
APU
4 - 1
ZET
67%
20%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CLU
2 - 0
APU
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
APU
2 - 0
CDS
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 0
APU
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
DER
2 - 1
SDS
37%
26%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SFC
3 - 0
DER
65%
21%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
DER
59%
22%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DER
0 - 0
SDU
49%
25%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ZET
1 - 1
DER
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |