Apurtuarte vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CDS
1 - 2
APU
23%
24%
54%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
APU
1 - 1
CLU
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SDS
1 - 1
APU
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
APU
0 - 2
DEU
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GAL
0 - 1
APU
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
DER
2 - 0
SDU
30%
25%
45%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BER
1 - 0
DER
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
DER
0 - 1
BFC
16%
22%
62%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
SOD
0 - 0
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
DER
1 - 3
RET
36%
25%
39%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |