Apucarana Sport vs Iraty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
63.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apucarana Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
ACP
3 - 1
APU
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OPE
4 - 0
APU
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 1
APU
44%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
APU
2 - 2
GEM
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
APU
0 - 3
CAB
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Iraty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
IRA
0 - 0
GEM
67%
17%
16%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
IRA
17%
19%
64%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TCW
4 - 1
IRA
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 4
OPE
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
5 - 2
IRA
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |