Apucarana Sport vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apucarana Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PST
2 - 0
APU
59%
22%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
APU
1 - 2
NPR
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
APU
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
APU
1 - 0
FOZ
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 1
APU
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 2
NPR
51%
25%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
FOZ
2 - 1
ACP
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PST
1 - 2
ACP
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 1
APU
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |