APS Patrai vs Aias Gastounis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
73.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
10º
14º
14º
27
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APS Patrai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
4 - 0
APS
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
APS
1 - 1
IAL
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
APS
80%
15%
5%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
APS
1 - 0
MYT
9%
18%
73%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | +4 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AEP
5 - 0
APS
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Aias Gastounis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
AOA
5 - 0
DIA
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AOA
0 - 3
AME
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 2
AOA
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AOA
3 - 0
PAN
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AOF
2 - 0
AOA
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |