APS Patrai vs Aiolikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
10º
14º
14º
61
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APS Patrai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AEP
5 - 0
APS
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
APS
1 - 2
ERM
12%
20%
68%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
APS
0 - 0
DIA
7%
14%
79%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
APS
87%
10%
4%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
APS
1 - 0
PAN
8%
16%
76%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MYT
3 - 0
DIA
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
MYT
40%
25%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MYT
6 - 2
PAN
74%
16%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PAN
0 - 1
MYT
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AOF
0 - 1
MYT
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |