Aprilia vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VIG
0 - 0
APR
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
APR
3 - 0
TER
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FON
1 - 2
APR
24%
23%
53%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
APR
1 - 0
CAM
77%
15%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 2
APR
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
USP
4 - 3
BOR
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
USP
60%
22%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
USP
1 - 0
CHI
35%
28%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TER
2 - 1
USP
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
USP
1 - 0
VIG
41%
28%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |