Aprilia vs Torrecuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
57.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 1
APR
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
APR
1 - 2
FRA
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
APR
1 - 2
SSM
36%
27%
37%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BIS
0 - 0
APR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
APR
0 - 2
POM
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Torrecuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 1
TUR
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 3
TOR
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 4
TOR
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACI
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 1
PIC
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |