Aprilia vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 4
APR
18%
22%
61%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
UST
2 - 2
APR
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
APR
0 - 1
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
APR
0 - 0
MAT
38%
23%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
REC
1 - 4
APR
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
MON
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 0
REC
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
RIE
0 - 0
REC
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
REC
2 - 2
UST
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
REC
2 - 2
PIN
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |