Aprendices Casildenses vs Studebaker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprendices Casildenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STU
0 - 2
APR
60%
20%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
APR
1 - 2
TDN
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
JNE
0 - 2
APR
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
APR
2 - 1
FIR
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TDN
1 - 4
APR
11%
16%
73%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Studebaker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STU
0 - 2
APR
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
EHV
2 - 0
STU
10%
16%
75%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | -3 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AMS
1 - 0
STU
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
STU
2 - 1
SRI
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
STU
4 - 1
EHV
86%
10%
5%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | +1 |