CAF Champions League 1/16
Global 1-6
APR FC vs Zamalek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
APR
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
APR
2 - 0
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
APR
2 - 0
SAI
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
SAI
1 - 2
APR
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
FAR
1 - 0
APR
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
PET
1 - 0
ZAM
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
ZAM
3 - 0
ETI
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
ALT
0 - 3
ZAM
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ALU
2 - 2
ZAM
28%
29%
44%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MOK
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |