CAF Champions League 1/16
Global 4-2
APR FC vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
APR
2 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
KIY
0 - 2
APR
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MBA
1 - 0
APR
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
APR
3 - 1
MUH
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
GIC
0 - 0
APR
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MBA
1 - 0
APR
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 4
MBA
43%
23%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
MBA
0 - 0
MAL
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
MBA
1 - 0
MID
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
MBA
31%
26%
44%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |