APR FC vs Étoile de l'Est analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
APR
1 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
19%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BUG
0 - 1
APR
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
APR
1 - 0
RFC
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MUK
1 - 1
APR
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
APR
2 - 0
GFC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Étoile de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
EDE
0 - 1
BUG
47%
22%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 0
EDE
47%
22%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
EDE
0 - 0
MUK
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
GFC
1 - 1
EDE
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
EDE
1 - 1
RAY
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |