APR FC vs Espoir FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
8º
1º
17
5º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
APR
1 - 1
ASK
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
POL
2 - 1
APR
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
APR
0 - 0
GFC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
APR
2 - 1
BUG
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
APR
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Espoir FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 2
RAY
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MUK
3 - 2
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 0
SUN
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 2
KIY
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
RFC
4 - 0
ESP
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |