APR FC vs AS Kigali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2022 |
GFC
1 - 2
APR
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
APR
1 - 2
KIY
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 3
APR
38%
29%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
APR
3 - 1
EDE
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
APR
1 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
19%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
ASK
0 - 0
BUG
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 0
ASK
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MUK
2 - 2
ASK
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
ASK
2 - 1
GFC
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 0
ASK
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |