Apolonia Fier vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 0
APO
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
APO
1 - 1
KFS
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
TIR
4 - 1
APO
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
APO
2 - 0
LAÇ
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SHK
3 - 0
APO
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
KFS
0 - 2
BES
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2009 |
BES
1 - 0
GRA
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
BES
1 - 1
TIR
28%
29%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LAÇ
0 - 0
BES
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
BES
1 - 1
LAÇ
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |