Apollon Smyrnis vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
LAM
0 - 0
APS
20%
26%
54%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
APS
0 - 1
ACH
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
APS
23%
28%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
APS
3 - 2
ZAK
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
APS
2 - 0
PAN
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
ERG
17%
25%
58%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PAN
0 - 1
LAR
28%
29%
43%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 0
LAM
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 2
IRA
45%
27%
29%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |