Apollon Smyrnis vs Athens Kallithea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 1
APS
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
APS
2 - 0
FOK
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
OFI
1 - 0
APS
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VYZ
0 - 1
APS
23%
28%
49%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
APS
1 - 0
AOK
29%
30%
41%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Athens Kallithea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
KAL
3 - 1
ARI
12%
21%
66%
|
44 | 82 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
KAL
1 - 1
IRA
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
ERG
2 - 1
KAL
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
KAL
1 - 0
NIK
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
THR
0 - 0
KAL
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |