Apollon Smyrnis vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
LEV
1 - 4
APS
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FOS
0 - 2
APS
11%
22%
67%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
APS
1 - 1
LEV
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
APS
4 - 2
ERM
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
APS
1 - 0
EPI
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
AEK
2 - 0
KER
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
AEK
3 - 0
PAN
90%
8%
2%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
KER
1 - 1
AEK
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 1
AEK
11%
23%
66%
|
70 | 29 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AEK
5 - 1
KAL
89%
9%
2%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |