Apollo Gellik vs Waltwilder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollo Gellik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 3
APO
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HUV
0 - 1
APO
32%
24%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
APO
2 - 0
BER
15%
20%
64%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ZON
1 - 0
APO
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
APO
5 - 3
LIN
71%
17%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Waltwilder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 0
BER
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ZON
0 - 1
WAL
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WAL
3 - 3
LIN
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 0
KVT
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |