Apollo Gellik vs Moelingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollo Gellik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
APO
6 - 0
LIN
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
APO
2 - 2
ZEP
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
APO
2 - 0
LUT
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
VLI
1 - 0
APO
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BER
1 - 0
APO
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Moelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MOE
0 - 1
ZON
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MOE
0 - 4
KVT
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
EEN
2 - 3
MOE
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ZEP
3 - 1
MOE
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HUV
3 - 0
MOE
53%
21%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |