Apollo Gellik vs Herk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollo Gellik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LUT
0 - 1
APO
41%
24%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
APO
2 - 2
VLI
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
APO
1 - 1
VLI
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
EEN
2 - 2
APO
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
APO
1 - 2
WAL
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Herk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HER
2 - 0
LIN
73%
16%
12%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
WEK
1 - 4
HER
23%
22%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
ZON
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MOE
1 - 0
HER
27%
23%
51%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
MEL
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |