Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 5-2
APOEL vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
APO
1 - 0
SUD
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
SUD
3 - 1
APO
35%
26%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
DOX
1 - 3
APO
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
APO
2 - 1
MTA
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
GDA
1 - 2
APO
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
FLO
4 - 0
TUL
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
HBS
3 - 1
FLO
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 4
HBS
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
FHT
0 - 13
FLO
1%
2%
97%
|
78 | 28 | 50 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
AIK
1 - 0
FLO
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |