APEP vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ELP
2 - 1
APE
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
APE
1 - 0
ENO
22%
27%
52%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ENP
1 - 0
APE
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
APE
0 - 3
KAR
22%
26%
53%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
APE
2 - 1
OMO
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PAF
3 - 2
OMO
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PAF
1 - 4
AEZ
46%
23%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ELP
0 - 2
PAF
58%
23%
18%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PAF
1 - 3
ENO
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ANA
5 - 2
PAF
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |