APEP vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
OTH
2 - 0
APE
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
OMO
3 - 0
APE
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
APE
1 - 5
N&S
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
APE
1 - 1
AYI
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
OLY
1 - 0
APE
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PAF
1 - 1
OLY
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
PAF
0 - 6
ANA
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
AYI
2 - 0
PAF
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
OTH
3 - 0
PAF
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PAF
1 - 5
OMO
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |