APEP vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ENP
0 - 1
APE
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
APE
3 - 2
OMO
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ONI
1 - 2
APE
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AYI
1 - 0
APE
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
APE
1 - 0
OTH
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PAF
4 - 1
ATR
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
DOX
2 - 1
PAF
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PAF
2 - 1
HAL
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
PAF
2 - 0
ETH
67%
20%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAE
0 - 3
PAF
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |