APEP vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
OMO
4 - 3
APE
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
APE
0 - 1
AEL
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
NEA
1 - 2
APE
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
APE
2 - 1
ARI
36%
25%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
DOX
0 - 1
APE
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
PAF
0 - 0
ETH
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
DOX
2 - 2
PAF
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
PAF
0 - 1
APO
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
NEA
0 - 0
PAF
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
PAF
1 - 3
OMO
23%
24%
52%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |