APEP vs Ormideia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ELP
3 - 2
APE
41%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
APE
1 - 1
PEY
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 1
APE
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
APE
0 - 3
XYL
24%
25%
52%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
DIG
3 - 3
APE
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ormideia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ORM
2 - 1
PEY
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
XYL
1 - 0
ORM
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ORM
3 - 0
AGV
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HAL
1 - 1
ORM
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
IRA
3 - 1
ORM
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |