APEP vs Elia Lythrodonta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
4º
3º
3
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
APE
3 - 1
APO
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ENT
0 - 1
APE
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
APE
3 - 1
ETH
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
APE
2 - 1
ORM
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KOU
1 - 2
APE
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Elia Lythrodonta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ELI
1 - 4
ORM
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
APO
6 - 0
ELI
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ELI
0 - 2
KOU
18%
24%
58%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ENT
3 - 0
ELI
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ELI
0 - 6
HAL
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |