APEP vs Anagennisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PAF
1 - 1
APE
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
APE
1 - 6
OTH
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ERM
2 - 1
APE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
APE
0 - 1
PAE
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AKR
0 - 2
APE
26%
27%
48%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Anagennisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ANA
4 - 0
OLY
30%
27%
44%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ANA
1 - 1
AYI
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ANA
0 - 3
ARI
28%
27%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
N&S
0 - 0
ANA
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
OTH
0 - 3
ANA
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |