APEP vs Amathous analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ETH
4 - 0
APE
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
APE
0 - 3
ETH
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
XYL
0 - 0
APE
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
APE
0 - 1
ORM
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DYP
0 - 2
APE
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Amathous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 7
MEA
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
IRA
2 - 2
AMA
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
KOU
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 1
ETH
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ETH
4 - 0
AMA
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |