APEP vs Alki Oroklini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
APE
1 - 0
KOU
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MEA
3 - 0
APE
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
APE
0 - 3
IRA
59%
21%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
APE
1 - 2
N&S
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ARI
4 - 2
APE
81%
13%
5%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Alki Oroklini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALK
1 - 1
MEA
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 0
ALK
20%
23%
57%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALK
1 - 0
AMA
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |